A scenario is not a promise
Scenario language helps users understand possible market paths without pretending that one path is guaranteed. A scenario may describe a market as mildly bearish, mixed or trend-driven, but that does not remove uncertainty.
End-price probability
End-price probability is about where the market may be at the end of a selected horizon. For example, a 24-hour view asks what the final price distribution could look like at the end of that period.
Touch probability
Touch probability asks a different question: whether a level may be reached at least once during the period. A price can touch a level and still close somewhere else. This is why touch probability can be higher than end-price probability.
Why the distinction matters
Without this distinction, users may misunderstand risk. Nexlore separates these concepts so the interface can explain movement, volatility and uncertainty more honestly. This is especially important in crypto, where intraday moves can be large even when the final direction looks less dramatic.
Open the app and compare this explanation with a real analysis view. Pay attention to how scenario, events and data quality are separated.
Open app